Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. provides the full range of services needed for the development and application of regional transportation models. Marc Warner leads the practice. He is among the country's leading consultants in the estimation and calibration of mode choice routines. He has directed travel demand forecasting tasks for major transit and highway projects using TransCAD, Cube/TRIPS, emme/2, emme/3, Tranplan, and MINUTP software packages, and he "sweats the details" in all aspects of transportation model development and use.
Marc Warner has taught travel demand forecasting techniques as a professor in the graduate schools at the University of Massachusetts and at Northeastern University. At MIT, where he received his Ph.D. in transportation systems, he also conducted a weekly recitation for transportation demand modeling students, and he prepared all tests, exercises, and grades for students in the class.
Warner Transportation Consulting's related consulting experiences include the following:
Passenger rail ridership forecasting in Manila
As an expert witness in arbitration proceedings between the govenment of the Philippines and the private partner in the development of the main Manila passenger rail line, Marc Warner estimated ridership and revenue under alternative fare and capacity scenarios. His 2019 report and testimony examined how ridership on the MRT-
Flint Hills metropolitan planning study
Warner Transportation Consulting contracted in 2018 with the Flint Hills Metropolitan Planning Organization to develop a new regional transportation and land use model. The effort included the compilation of socio-
Iceland's "Lava Express" ridership forecast
Warner Transportation Consulting forecasted ridership for Iceland's proposed "Lava Express" passenger rail service between Keflavik Airport and central Reykjavik. In the 2016 study, Marc Warner designed and analyzed stated preference surveys to test the effects of different pricing, train frequency, station location, and parking scenarios. The surveys elicited responses from 2542 foreign travelers who had recently flown out of Keflavik Airport, and from 1062 residents of the Icelandic Capital Region.
Analysis of parking demand at Washington, DC's planned Silver Line Metro stations
In a 2015 study, Warner Transportation Consulting examined the parking demand projected for two planned passenger rail stations in Loudon County, Virginia. The study identified various errors in the data analysis and in the interpretation of the statistical results, and presented a more behaviorally-
Demand analysis for proposed Metro-
Lawton Oklahoma model development and land use forecasts
Warner Transportation Consulting contracted with the Lawton, Oklahoma Metropolitan Planning Organization in February 2014 to develop a new transportation and land use planning model. The TransCAD-
Assessment of Almaty, Kazakhstan highway privatization effort
In an audit of the Europe and Central Asia Infrastructure Advisory Program of the International Finance Corporation, Warner Transportation Consulting conducted a case study of the agency's efforts to develop a successful privatization tender to construct an $800 million circumferential highway around Almaty, Kazakhstan. Mr. Warner's analysis included a review of the traffic forecast and the traveler response to different tolls and travel time savings. His meetings with project staff took place at the IFC office in Belgrade, Serbia and by video conference with staff in Almaty.
Support of Transportation Capacity Building in Azerbaijan
Warner Transportation Consulting contracted with the government of the Republic of Azerbaijan to provide training in the use of TransCAD for transportation planning. Marc Warner was in Baku, Azerbaijan in April 2012 to teach the five-
Orange County transportation modeling
Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. contracted with the Orange County Transportation Authority in April 2012 to help the agency calibrate the transit ridership components of its regional transportation model. The project, completed in October 2012, allows the model to account for survey data and transit fare and boarding data collected automatically on OCTA buses. It also provides information for the agency's Title VI (environmental justice) reports, and highlights corridors where the transit service provided is disproportionate to the existing and potential transit demand. This can help to guide OCTA planners in the geographic allocation of transit service.
In an earlier contract with OCTA, Warner Transportation Consulting conducted transportation modeling studies on a three year on-
Ridership Analysis of the Monterey Light Rail Plan
The Transportation Agency for Monterey County (CA) contracted in early 2011 with Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. to conduct an independent review of ridership on the Monterey Branch Line Rail Project. The effort entailed the application of various strategic level ridership techniques, evaluation of the current regional land use and transportation model, modifications to that model, and new forecasts of demand under alternative station attributes and operating plans.
Portland commuter rail modeling
Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. directed all travel demand forecasting tasks for the Portland North Transportation Alternatives Study. The effort included the application of the Aggregate Rail Ridership Forecasting (ARRF) tool, and two new traveler surveys to calibrate mode choice and other components of a revised regional transportation and land use model.
Adirondack/Glens Falls transportation model development
Warner Transportation Consulting contracted in 2010 with the Adirondack/Glens Falls Transportation Commission to update and enhance thier regional land use and transportation model. The update included the development of winter and summer seasonal models, the geographic expansion of the modeled region, the recalibration of all model phases, and the conversion of the model from VISUM to TransCAD. The agency contracted again with Warner Transportation Consulting in 2018 to provide a second update and recalibration of the regional model.
Nashville transit service model
Warner Transportation Consulting developed an innovative program based on available geographic data to highlight promising corridors for new transit service, and to produce a quick and easy comparison of proposed transit alternatives. The program is a sophisticated GISDK add-
Pennsylvania Toll Road Forecasting
Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. was a sub-
Regional Model Development for Maine DOT
Warner Transportation Consulting, Inc. was responsible for the estimation of passenger ridership for several options of proposed passenger rail, ferry and bus service in the travel corridor between Bangor International Airport and Bar Harbor, Maine. Marc Warner directed the modeling effort, and introduced a variety of modeling innovations, including "tour-
Also as part of this project, Warner Transportation Consulting developed the regional model using Cube/TRIPS to test alternative transportation options in a 50-
St. Louis MetroLink Extension
Warner Transportation Consulting directed the technical modeling of ridership and revenue for all route alignment and service scenarios (including no-
Kansas City Transportation Alternatives Studies
Warner Transportation Consulting upgraded the regional transportation model maintained by the Mid America Regional Council to test various rail and bus rapid transit proposals for the I-
Cleveland Transit and Highway Modeling
In an upgrade to the Cleveland regional transportation and land use model, Warner Transportation Consulting developed an innovative approach to account for complex trips (trips that involve intermediate stops between the origin and destination). Marc Warner applied this method along with changes to special trip generators and special events in the modeling of proposed downtown Cleveland highway and transit options.
New Jersey Light Rail Planning Study
Warner Transportation Consulting reviewed the regional travel demand models used by New Jersey planning agencies to identify sources and magnitudes of possible uncertainties that could affect future travel demand. This review became part of a solicitation package for firms and individuals interested in building and operating the agency's proposed Hudson-
Denver Toll Road Forecasting
For a bond prospectus for the proposed E-
Dallas Bus Ridership and Revenue Forecasting
Warner Transportation Consulting developed a set of models for transit planners to forecast ridership for new or revised bus services. The models rely on formulas estimated through regression analyses of existing route-
Intercity Passenger Rail Study
In a study for Amtrak, Warner Transportation Consulting estimated the impacts on ridership and revenue of proposed cuts in passenger rail service. Marc Warner's analysis involved working closely with Amtrak marketing managers and intensively with data from Amtrak's Arrow Reservation System, Marketing Origin-
Boston Central Artery Ramp Meter Study
Warner Transportation Consulting combined queuing theory and a regional traffic assignment model (TranPlan) to analyze the effects of possible ramp metering on area traffic flows as part of the Boston Central Artery/Tunnel Project. On other modeling tasks for the Central Artery project, Marc Warner developed techniques for monitoring truck and bus movements as distinct travel flows.
Traveler Response to Changes in Transit Fares-
Ridership Impacts of Transit Amenities
For a Federal research project (TCRP B-
Airport ground access surveys and models
In one of several projects it has done for Massport, Warner Transportation Consulting analyzed factors affecting the use of express buses to Boston's Logan International Airport. The project involved survey design, data collection, and analysis for a survey of passengers on buses serving four park-
Transportation Demand Management Studies-